Market Insights Productivity versus Workslop

Productivity versus Workslop

September 29, 2025

 

Dear Clients,

My previous note highlighted how Citadel Securities is reimagining finance by creating an Amazon-like client experience. From simple point-and-click trades to complex bespoke transactions, we deliver unmatched liquidity, competitive pricing, and seamless execution. But best-in-class execution is only part of our story – we pair this strength with differentiated insights drawn from our unique vantage point across markets and technology.

Recently, many of you have asked to compare notes on harnessing the power of rapidly evolving technology. Generative AI FOMO is real: if you’re not applying AI to every workflow, it feels like you’re already behind. Our advice is to focus on practical applications with rigorous measurement tools. Over the past 30 years, technology’s impact on financial services firms has been uneven – and AI will be no different.

AI is spreading fast across the workforce, and when applied thoughtfully, it has real potential to enhance decision-making, accelerate workflows, and unlock value. But without careful process redesign, workflow by workflow, results can fall short. An MIT Media Lab study found that 95% of organizations report no measurable return on generative AI. Much enthusiasm, little payoff – unless it’s done right.

From what we’ve seen, AI adoption has been mostly ad hoc – individuals experimenting with smarter search, faster drafting, and modest coding gains. But indiscriminate use can backfire. As Harvard Business Review notes, firms are now battling the scourge of AI “workslop” – output that looks polished but lacks substance, slows workflows, and undermines collaboration.

Our experience is clear: technology creates real value only when grounded in a business discipline, versed in engineering, applied at scale, and guided by thoughtful human judgment. Building a culture that embraces these principles is as important as the tools themselves. With just 1,800 professionals, Citadel Securities sends out 45 billion option quotes daily and executes nearly a quarter of U.S. equity volumes – proof of what disciplined technology can achieve.

We are now deploying AI selectively, in areas where it measurably reduces friction and amplifies human judgment. For example, we’ve centralized code migrations, allowing a single engineer to drive broad-based changes, with results reviewed by area experts. This eliminates the inertia of broad coordination and accelerates upgrades. Our approach is guided by four principles shaped by 23 years of experience with automation:

  • Protect intellectual property and data from the start
  • Design around actual workflows, not imagined solutions
  • Build common infrastructure for scale and resilience
  • Put world-class engineers at the core of innovation

Technology has always been our multiplier. AI represents a powerful new frontier: applied thoughtfully, it can enhance human judgment, accelerate innovation, and unlock value. As markets evolve, we’ll continue investing in the systems, analytics, and talent that define market making at scale. We look forward to sharing our learnings, understanding your priorities, and supporting your efforts to apply new technologies effectively. Together, we can shape the next generation of markets.

Jim Esposito, President
Citadel Securities


Extra Credit Work

📰 Harvard Business Review AI-Generated “Workslop” Is Destroying Productivity
 
📚 MIT Media Lab The GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business in 2025
 
🖥️ Axel Springer Mathias Döpfner in Conversation With Sam Altman

A Word from Our Sales and Trading Team

Meeting your needs in the new issue ecosystem…

Since launching our voice IG Credit business in March 2024, our team has had countless discussions with you about how we can improve your overall trading experience, including depth of liquidity and robust pricing. A consistent theme emerged: the current new issue ecosystem leaves critical gaps, particularly in unique thought leadership and consistent liquidity provision.

 

Earlier this month we launched the Citadel Securities Grey Trading Panel on Bloomberg. This first-of-its-kind platform centralizes access to our live grey market pricing in real time, streamed directly from our internal risk systems. By integrating seamlessly into your existing workflow on Bloomberg Launchpad {CTSD #GREY}, the Panel provides transparency with key deal data – IPT, guidance, launch, and tranche size – alongside our pricing. – Sam Berberian, Global Head of Credit Trading

 

Fall Reads, Watches, and Listens

 

 

 

Ken Griffin & Anil Kashyap: Trump’s Risky Game With the Fed

In an op-ed earlier this month, our founder Ken Griffin and Anil Kashyap, professor at The University of Chicago Booth School of Business and a consultant to the research department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, advocate for an independent Federal Reserve, bringing inflation down and putting our fiscal house in order.

Ken and Anil point out that “if the Fed visibly bows to political pressure and permits inflation to rise unchecked, tens of millions of retired Americans will see their savings diminished.” They add that the current framework of Congressional oversight of the Fed works—and any interference by the White House is counterproductive.

Read the full op-ed here.


Chart Topping

Retail Options – Call / Put Direction Ratio by Week (%)

Citadel Securities’ Retail Options clients are on a bullish streak watch. Last week was the 2nd most bullish week of 2025. This 22 week streak is now the longest on record since 2020.

Source: Citadel Securities, as of September 29th, 2025. Figures are for illustrative purposes only. Past performance figures do not guarantee future results.


A Look Across the Firm

Retail Market Update | Crowd Surfing: Catching the Retail Liquidity Wave
Tom Sozzi, Head of Institutional Equity Electronic Sales

As the end of daylight savings time approaches, we’re reminded it’s not just our clocks that are shifting—market rhythms are evolving too. While broader volumes have steadily concentrated in the late-day swell, retail investors began moving earlier some time ago, and this shift has only accelerated recently. These changing tides highlight an important point: as the timing of retail investor participation continues to evolve, it may be time to recalibrate how we think about the flow of volume throughout the trading day.

Read Tom’s take here.


Some Macro Thoughts…Green Light
Nohshad Shah, Head of Fixed Income Sales – EMEA

The Fed’s insurance cuts began this week with a 25bp cut and confirmation of a dovish bias to policy, likely for the remainder of the year. The Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) revealed a three-cut median for policy rates in 2025  (from two in June), meaning we should expect further 25bp adjustments in the October and December meetings as the base case. Both the statement and Chair Powell’s presser confirmed that “downside risks to employment have risen” and whilst he did pay heed to “two-sided risk” and that there is “no risk-free path” given the challenges to both sides of the mandate…

Read Nohshad’s take here.


Global Market Intelligence | “What’s the RUB?”
Scott Rubner, Head of Equity and Equity Derivative Strategy

Equities sit at a pivotal inflection point, with competing forces in play. The macro hinge remains the inflation – Fed easing trajectory: stabilization enables policy support, while persistence forces repricing. Execution on AI and Q3 earnings is equally critical – mega-cap leaders must deliver against high expectations to sustain stretched multiples. Geopolitical and trade frictions, plus shutdown risk, linger as exogenous shocks. Market breadth remains the key tell: broadening supports durability, while Mag7 concentration signals fragility.

Read Scott’s take here.

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